outmigration

Shift of Net Domestic Migration to Smaller MSAs and Outside CBSAs

Wendell Cox — Fri, 22 Mar 2024 11:46:41 -0400

From the early 2010s to 2022, net domestic migration in the United States has evolved strongly toward less populated areas. In 2022, the annual net domestic migration has been reduced in all population categories in metropolitan areas with 1,000,000 or more population (2010). Further net domestic migration has increased in all population categories with less than 1,000,000 population (Figure).

Note: CBSAs include all metropolitan and micropolitan areas.

Wendell Cox is principal of Demographia, an international public policy firm located in the St. Louis metropolitan area. He is a founding senior fellow at the Urban Reform Institute, Houston, a Senior Fellow with the Frontier Centre for Public Policy in Winnipeg and a member of the Advisory Board of the Center for Demographics and Policy at Chapman University in Orange, California. He has served as a visiting professor at the Conservatoire National des Arts et Metiers in Paris. His principal interests are economics, poverty alleviation, demographics, urban policy and transport. He is co-author of the annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey and author of Demographia World Urban Areas.

Mayor Tom Bradley appointed him to three terms on the Los Angeles County Transportation Commission (1977-1985) and Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich appointed him to the Amtrak Reform Council, to complete the unexpired term of New Jersey Governor Christine Todd Whitman (1999-2002). He is author of War on the Dream: How Anti-Sprawl Policy Threatens the Quality of Life and Toward More Prosperous Cities: A Framing Essay on Urban Areas, Transport, Planning and the Dimensions of Sustainability.

San Francisco Loses Another 39,000 Taxpayers

Joel Kotkin — Wed, 21 Sep 2022 14:45:51 -0400

Since the days of the Gold Rush, California has been a magnet for those seeking wealth. A backwater barely a century ago, with just over 3 million residents compared to nearly 40 million today, the Golden State established dominance over everything from agriculture and film to space travel and the internet.

But new data suggests that the tide may be turning, and a rich hegira is afoot.

Researchers found that 39,000 San Franciscans who had filed federal tax returns for 2018 had moved out of the city before filing 2019 returns, taking away a net of $7 billion in income in one year. A soon-to-be released report from the San Francisco Business Times, sources tell me, will see a similar phenomenon in Silicon Valley.

Once able to hold onto its rich, the Golden State seems to be following the course of high-tax places like New York, Illinois, New Jersey, Massachusetts and Connecticut. For years, these cities and states have been oozing billions in tax revenues as wealthy residents fled to the likes of Texas, Florida, Arizona, the Carolinas and Tennessee. While California still lags behind New York State in the money-losing sweepstakes, it is catching up: in 2020 the state lost $17.8 billion in tax revenue, with the loss spreading into the Bay Area, whose tech-rich economy historically kept the state solvent.

Read the rest of this piece at UnHerd.

Joel Kotkin is the author of The Coming of Neo-Feudalism: A Warning to the Global Middle Class. He is the Roger Hobbs Presidential Fellow in Urban Futures at Chapman University and Executive Director for Urban Reform Institute. Learn more at joelkotkin.com and follow him on Twitter @joelkotkin.

Why People are Moving Out of California

New Geography — Sat, 26 Mar 2022 15:35:23 -0400

Wendell Cox talks with California Insider about costs of living and who is moving away from the Golden State.

Watch the episode:

Virtual Town Hall: Revitalizing California's Business Climate

New Geography — Fri, 08 Jan 2021 20:12:12 -0500

You are invited to join Chapman University’s Vice President of Research Thomas Piechota who will host the next Ask the Experts Town Hall on Friday, January 22, from 11 – 12:30 P.M. (PST). The installment this month will be moderated by Dean Thomas Turk of the Argyros School of Business and Economics who will be joined by Joel Kotkin, Presidential Fellow in Urban Futures at Chapman University and Marshall Toplansky, Clinical Assistant Professor of Management Science at Chapman University. Together, Chapman faculty will be joined by local community experts: Lucy Dunn, President and CEO, Orange County Business Council; Tracy Hernandez, CEO, Los Angeles County Business Federation; Jim Wunderman, President and CEO, Bay Area Council; and Rob Lapsley, President, California Business Roundtable.

Alongside Chapman faculty, our distinguished guests will discuss how best California’s business climate can be revitalized to avoid the loss of companies, higher unemployment rates, and poverty. They will also explore how businesses can be key to correcting these problems including encouraging government to listen more to the challenges being faced.

The entire Chapman community (staff, faculty, and students) and the broader community are welcome to join. Register for the webinar here, or visit the Ask the Experts Website.

For more information visit blogs.chapman.edu/

Guest Experts

Joel Kotkin, Presidential Fellow in Urban Futures, Chapman University

Marshall Toplansky, Clinical Assistant Professor of Management Science at Chapman University

Lucy Dunn, President and CEO, Orange County Business Council

Tracy Hernandez, CEO Los Angeles County Business Federation, Los Angeles

Jim Wunderman, President and CEO, Bay Area Council

Rob Lapsley, President, California Business Roundtable