Demographics

The Unexpected Future

global-population-growth-to-2050.jpg

We are entering an unanticipated reality—an era of slow population growth and, increasingly, demographic decline that will shape our future in profound and unpredictable ways.  read more »

Population and Fertility to 2100: 10 Largest Nations

churchgate-railway-station-mumbai.jpg

The recently released United Nations World Population Prospects: 2022 forecasts a future with fewer people in 2100 than there were in 2000.  read more »

Migratory Millennials - Marching from the Metropolis

lakeside-living-australia.jpg

As stories of new migration patterns and movement across Australia’s cities and regions abound, updated population data shows that what initially appeared to be a pandemic-induced blip is instead the beginning of a reversal of a long-term trend.  read more »

Why Suburbia Will Decide the Future

Neighborhoods_in_the_City_of_Chandler.jpg

Welcome to the future of American politics. The US population is changing in major ways that will likely alter the balance in politics and economics to the advantage of Republican-leaning red states, as well as suburbs and exurbs across the country.  read more »

UN World Population Projections: Declines Later in the Century

DHAKA STREET.PNG

Since the beginning of the 19th century, world population has skyrocketed. According to a summary of estimates by the US Census Bureau, the world population was about 970 million in 1800 (midpoint of the high and low estimate). The Census Bureau site indicates that population usually increased in previous centuries, though was at an all-time high in 1800.  read more »

Subjects:

US Total Fertility Rates: Toward Europe?

downtown-cinncinati.jpg

The latest final births data (2020) from the Center for Disease Control indicates that the US total fertility rate continued to decline and has reached a record low. The total fertility rate is the number of children that the average woman has during her child-bearing years. In 2020, the US rate was 1.64, well below the 2.10 replacement rate.  read more »

Subjects:

Demographia World Urban Areas: 2022 Released

dhi_world-urban2022.png

The 2022 edition of Demographia World Urban Areas has been released, which provides revised population estimates based on the 2020 round of censuses, though some censuses have been delayed due to the pandemic (such as in India and Bangladesh).  read more »

Living As a Moral Minority

christ-church-indianapolis.jpg

It’s popular today to talk about the “common good” or the “public good.” But one of the implications of the shift to the negative world is that Christians need to start becoming much more concerned about their private good – the good of their own families, churches, and communities.  read more »

Subjects:

The Labor Crisis and the Future of the Heartland

ncdot-maintenance-workers.jpg

While topics like “The Great Resignation” and “the labor shortage” have gained traction in popular discourse, much of these discussions overly simplify trends that have been brewing for decades.  read more »

Why Millennials Are Dropping Out

dropping-out-of-workforce.jpg

With inflation soaring, trust in governments plummeting, and the global economy teetering on the brink of collapse, one might expect to see the masses out in the streets, calling for the heads of their rulers. But instead of rage and rebellion, we mostly see apathy. Rather than getting radicalised, people are dropping out.  read more »