New York

Latest Data Shows Pre-Pandemic Suburban/Exurban Population Gains

columbus-central-business-district.jpg

The latest complete American Community Survey (ACS) data, analyzed by the Demographia City Sector Model, indicates that population growth in the nation’s 53 major metropolitan areas (over 1,000,000 residents) continues to be, even before the pandemic, overwhelmingly suburban and exurban.  read more »

The Big Moves: Where People Are Moving

pa exurbs2.png

For decades, New York has been the leading exporter of people to other states, though has been severely challenged since 2000 by California. During five years around the housing bust, more net domestic migrants left California than New York. Then, for a time, California’s annual losses were not quite as severe  read more »

The Limits of Rhetoric

Homeless_tents_and_flag_under_CA-87_in_San_Jose.jpg

Deep-blue cities and states are eager to declare their social-justice credentials.  read more »

America After COVID: What Demographics Tell Us

5158829575_07b4922df1_k.jpg

“When there is a general change in conditions, it is as if the entire creation had changed, and the whole world altered.”  —Ibn Khaldun, 14th century Arab historian  read more »

Escape from New York?

Ashokan_Reservoir_from_Wittenberg.jpg

Reports continue to mount on the decline of New York City through the pandemic months. In a July 2020 post, we summarized the situation:  read more »

San Jose: Largest % Migration Loss Outside New Orleans

phoenix-az_wendell-cox.jpg

This article expands on the 2000 to 2019 state net domestic migration data from last week, covering the 110 metropolitan areas with more than 500,000 residents (Note). The big surprise may be that the largest proportional outflow of net domestic migrants, outside Hurricane Katrina ravaged New Orleans was San Jose, the nation’s most affluent metropolitan area and perhaps the wealthiest in the world. In both cases, many more people left in the first 10 years than since 2010.  read more »

Two Decades of Interstate Migration

chicago-downtown.jpg

America is still a mobile nation. Back in the 2000-2010 decade, 12.9 million people moved interstate, nearly five percent of the total population. In the 2010s the population has been a bit less mobile, with net domestic migration of 11.7 million residents, slightly under four percent. Nonetheless, 11.7 million is a large number. This is nearly equal to the population of Ohio, with only five states being larger  read more »

Something in New York is Dying

View_of_New_York_City_with_the_Empire_State_Building_and_One_World_Trade_Center_from_the_Rockefeller_Center.jpg

A recent blog post by investor and stand-up comedian James Altucher (mentioned here) arguing that New York is dead forever attracted the hostility of many New Yorkers. Fellow comedian Jerry Seinfeld wrote a New York Times op-ed calling Altucher a “whimpering putz.” Mayor De Blasio, naturally, agrees with Seinfeld.  read more »

Bicycles: A Refuge for Transit Commuters?

lower-manhattan.jpg

This may come as a surprise, but bicycles provide more 30-minute job access than transit for the average worker in 50 large metropolitan areas (combined). This is evident from data produced by the University of Minnesota Accessibility Laboratory. The 50 metropolitan areas all have more than 1,000,000 population, though do not include Memphis, Grand Rapids or Tucson, the three others of that size. Reports have been produced for job access, by travel time for the average worker in the metropolitan areas.  read more »

The Twilight of Great American Cities is Here. Can We Stop It?

southern-manhattan-sunset_ed-yourdon.jpg

The dreadful death of George Floyd lit a fire that threatens to burn down America’s cities. Already losing population before the pandemic, our major urban centers have provided ideal kindling for conflagration with massive unemployment, closed businesses and already rising crime rates.  read more »